Os Belenenses vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
15.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ACA
3 - 1
BEL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
BEL
3 - 0
MAR
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
VST
2 - 3
BEL
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
SPB
2 - 1
BEL
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
25%
28%
47%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPB
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
SLB
3 - 0
VAR
79%
14%
6%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
FCP
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
FCB
1 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 0
ACV
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |