Os Belenenses vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
FCP
0 - 0
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
FCB
0 - 0
BEL
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
BEL
2 - 1
UFT
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
VST
4 - 0
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
BEL
1 - 0
SPB
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
VAR
4 - 1
VIT
40%
27%
34%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
VAR
0 - 1
SLB
20%
27%
53%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
LEX
0 - 1
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
FCP
0 - 1
VAR
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 2
FCB
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |