Os Belenenses vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
FCP
4 - 0
BEL
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 0
BEL
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
BEL
3 - 2
ACA
28%
26%
47%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
SAN
1 - 1
BEL
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
BEL
2 - 1
FAB
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
VAR
3 - 1
VST
25%
28%
46%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 1
SLB
16%
22%
61%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
FCB
4 - 1
VAR
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
VAR
0 - 1
VIT
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPB
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |