Os Belenenses vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 1
POR
68%
21%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 0
BEL
31%
27%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 1
BEN
69%
21%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 3
BEL
21%
26%
53%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 0
SAN
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
UNM
2 - 2
NAV
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 1
UNM
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UNM
0 - 0
BRA
62%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNM
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UNM
0 - 1
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |