Os Belenenses vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
19%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TRO
1 - 0
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCF
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
BEL
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 0
AVE
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 2
BEL
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
UNM
2 - 3
MAR
19%
21%
60%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 0
UNM
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
UNM
0 - 1
TRO
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 0
UNM
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
UNM
2 - 3
PEN
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |