Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Os Belenenses vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1970 |
TIR
1 - 0
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 0
TIR
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
BEL
3 - 0
TEX
62%
19%
19%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
TEX
2 - 6
BEL
52%
21%
27%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCB
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1970 |
TIR
1 - 0
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 0
TIR
68%
17%
15%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1970 |
TIR
2 - 1
SIN
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
SIN
0 - 0
TIR
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
TIR
0 - 0
SIN
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |