Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 4-8
Os Belenenses vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
38%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
SCP
2 - 4
BEL
85%
9%
5%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1954 |
MAR
0 - 1
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1954 |
BEL
2 - 1
MAR
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
SPB
2 - 1
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 1
SPB
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
SCP
2 - 4
BEL
85%
9%
5%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1954 |
FCP
2 - 4
SCP
49%
20%
31%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1954 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
82%
11%
8%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
SCP
4 - 2
SLB
67%
16%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
SCP
3 - 2
SLB
67%
16%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |