Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Os Belenenses vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
36.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
VIL
0 - 9
BEL
19%
20%
61%
|
78 | 24 | 54 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
BEL
3 - 3
VIL
89%
8%
4%
|
78 | 23 | 55 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
BEL
7 - 2
APO
80%
12%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
31%
22%
47%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
FAR
1 - 2
SCP
31%
21%
48%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
SCP
7 - 0
FAR
83%
10%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCB
90%
6%
3%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
APO
2 - 5
SCP
13%
16%
71%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |