Os Belenenses vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
FAB
2 - 0
BEL
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
OLH
3 - 1
BEL
40%
23%
37%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
BEL
0 - 2
ATL
78%
13%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
BEL
4 - 0
SAL
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
FCP
5 - 0
BEL
75%
15%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
SPC
2 - 0
OLH
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SPC
4 - 2
SAL
63%
20%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
LEX
2 - 1
SPC
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
SPC
0 - 2
SCP
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
BMA
1 - 1
SPC
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |