Os Belenenses vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
EST
0 - 3
BEL
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
BEL
3 - 1
ATL
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
LGC
0 - 1
BEL
27%
23%
50%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCB
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
FCP
1 - 1
BEL
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
SPC
0 - 0
SCP
20%
20%
60%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
VST
5 - 1
SPC
52%
22%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
SPC
1 - 1
BOA
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
VIT
2 - 0
SPC
52%
22%
25%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
SPC
2 - 1
ACA
60%
19%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |