Os Belenenses vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
3.96
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.9%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.7%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.4%
3.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
VST
1 - 2
BEL
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
46%
20%
33%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 1
BEL
6%
14%
81%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
SCP
3 - 1
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
BEL
5 - 1
FCB
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
SPC
1 - 1
OLH
48%
22%
31%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
SPB
2 - 1
SPC
72%
15%
12%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
SPC
4 - 0
BOA
60%
19%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
SLB
8 - 0
SPC
85%
9%
6%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
SPC
0 - 5
SLB
28%
21%
51%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |