Os Belenenses vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
BEL
3 - 0
BOA
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
FAB
0 - 2
BEL
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
31%
27%
43%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
LEX
5 - 1
BEL
36%
30%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
SPB
2 - 1
VIT
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
SLB
5 - 0
SPB
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
SPB
1 - 2
VAR
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 0
SPB
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
SPB
1 - 0
FCB
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |