Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-3
Os Belenenses vs Shelbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
15.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1964 |
BEL
0 - 3
SLB
25%
21%
54%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1964 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
89%
8%
4%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
BEL
2 - 0
VST
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
VST
1 - 2
BEL
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
BEL
7 - 0
OLI
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 28 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1963 |
FCB
3 - 1
SHE
86%
9%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1963 |
SHE
0 - 2
FCB
30%
23%
47%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1962 |
SCP
5 - 1
SHE
82%
12%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
SHE
0 - 2
SCP
31%
23%
46%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |