Os Belenenses vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 1
BEL
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
OLH
70%
19%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
BEL
20%
27%
53%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 1
PER
77%
17%
6%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
BEL
13%
26%
61%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
MON
30%
29%
41%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PER
0 - 0
SER
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
OLH
27%
28%
45%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 0
SER
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
BEL
13%
26%
61%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |