Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 14-4
Os Belenenses vs SC Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1962 |
ATL
0 - 3
BEL
42%
24%
35%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
SAL
0 - 3
BEL
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
BEL
2 - 1
SAN
80%
12%
9%
|
78 | 16 | 62 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
BEL
3 - 3
FCP
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
LEX
1 - 1
BEL
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SC Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
BEL
2 - 1
SAN
80%
12%
9%
|
16 | 78 | 62 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
SAN
2 - 1
BEL
32%
21%
47%
|
15 | 78 | 63 | +1 |