Os Belenenses vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
3º
3º
8
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 8 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
79% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 7 |
6º
|
62% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AMO
3 - 0
BEL
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
BEL
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 3
BEL
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 0
AMO
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIL
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AMO
1 - 2
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 3
BEL
20%
25%
55%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
AMO
26%
27%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |