Os Belenenses vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
FCP
3 - 0
BEL
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2004 |
EST
1 - 0
BEL
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BEL
2 - 1
UDL
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
RIO
3 - 3
BEL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BEL
3 - 0
MAR
44%
27%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
PEN
2 - 1
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 2
PEN
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 1
RIO
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
PEN
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 4
VST
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |