Os Belenenses vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 2
BEL
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
BEL
4 - 3
SAL
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
FAR
1 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
BEL
4 - 1
ACA
58%
27%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
VIT
2 - 2
BEL
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
PEN
2 - 0
SCP
14%
26%
60%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
POR
4 - 0
PEN
65%
23%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
VAR
4 - 0
PEN
60%
24%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
PEN
4 - 3
SAL
38%
30%
32%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
FAR
1 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |