Os Belenenses vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
21%
28%
52%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
VIT
4 - 0
BEL
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 1
MAR
61%
24%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
ACV
1 - 2
BEL
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
19%
29%
51%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
PEN
3 - 0
POR
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
SCP
1 - 0
PEN
83%
11%
6%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
PEN
0 - 0
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
VIT
2 - 1
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
PEN
2 - 0
SPB
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |