Os Belenenses vs Pedras Rubras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VSC
0 - 0
BEL
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
PEN
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LEX
1 - 1
BEL
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ANA
2 - 5
BEL
12%
19%
70%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pedras Rubras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PED
2 - 2
LEC
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
REB
1 - 2
PED
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PED
1 - 1
LOU
42%
24%
35%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PED
3 - 2
UNM
15%
20%
65%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 1
PED
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |