Os Belenenses vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 1
BEL
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 1
GFC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 0
OLH
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
3 - 1
ORI
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
UDL
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 1
PAÇ
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
ALJ
86%
11%
4%
|
72 | 23 | 49 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 3
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |