Os Belenenses vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1953 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCB
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
FCB
2 - 1
BEL
46%
23%
31%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
VST
1 - 0
BEL
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
BEL
5 - 0
BOA
75%
14%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
VIT
1 - 1
BEL
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1952 |
ORI
1 - 1
FCB
40%
20%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
FCB
6 - 1
ORI
57%
19%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ORI
3 - 0
BOA
53%
21%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
VIT
4 - 2
ORI
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
ORI
4 - 0
EST
35%
21%
43%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |