Os Belenenses vs Oliveira Hospital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
6º
4º
26
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
REA
81%
14%
6%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 1
BEL
27%
26%
46%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 0
BEL
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
BEL
14%
23%
63%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 2
CAL
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
REA
2 - 2
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GDF
0 - 1
OLI
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 2
ACA
25%
25%
51%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 2
SCP
29%
26%
45%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |