Os Belenenses vs Oliveira Hospital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
6º
4º
26
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
REA
81%
14%
6%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 1
BEL
27%
26%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 0
BEL
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
BEL
14%
23%
63%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 2
CAL
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
REA
2 - 2
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GDF
0 - 1
OLI
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 2
ACA
25%
25%
51%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 2
SCP
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |