Os Belenenses vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 4
BEL
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
BEL
2 - 4
SLB
22%
23%
56%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2003 |
BMA
2 - 1
BEL
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
BEL
3 - 1
MAR
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 0
BEL
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCP
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
SPB
4 - 1
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
VAR
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PAÇ
3 - 3
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |