Os Belenenses vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
CHA
0 - 0
BEL
48%
28%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1988 |
BEL
0 - 0
VEL
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
BEL
1 - 1
SPB
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
BMA
1 - 0
BEL
48%
28%
25%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1988 |
VEL
0 - 0
BEL
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
NAC
3 - 0
FAR
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
NAC
2 - 0
FAF
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
MAR
0 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
NAC
5 - 2
ACV
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
POR
0 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |