Os Belenenses vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
BMA
3 - 3
BEL
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 2
BOA
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
BEL
4 - 1
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
FCP
3 - 0
BEL
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 2
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
UDL
0 - 0
MOR
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 0
RIO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
MOR
54%
26%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 2
VST
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |