Os Belenenses vs Montijo CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 1
BEL
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
BEL
3 - 1
FAR
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
ORI
2 - 3
BEL
29%
31%
39%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
BEL
4 - 1
BMA
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Montijo CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1974 |
CDM
1 - 0
LEX
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
BOA
4 - 0
CDM
59%
22%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
CDM
0 - 3
VST
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
FCB
1 - 1
CDM
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
CDM
1 - 0
OLH
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |