Os Belenenses vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.5%
Win probability
4.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.2%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.6%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.1%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.8%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
4.9%
2.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
FCP
0 - 2
BEL
54%
20%
26%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
BEL
7 - 1
VST
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
ACA
0 - 4
BEL
23%
20%
57%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
BEL
4 - 1
SLB
44%
20%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
VIT
0 - 1
BEL
29%
23%
48%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
LUS
2 - 1
SPB
25%
21%
55%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
OLH
1 - 1
LUS
88%
8%
4%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
LUS
2 - 0
BOA
47%
22%
31%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
OEL
7 - 0
LUS
79%
13%
9%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
LUS
1 - 1
EST
19%
19%
62%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |