Os Belenenses vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
BEL
2 - 1
FCP
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
FAB
1 - 0
BEL
61%
20%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
VIT
3 - 2
BEL
62%
21%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
LGC
0 - 5
VST
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
SPB
2 - 1
LGC
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
LGC
1 - 2
SLB
13%
17%
69%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
LEX
8 - 1
LGC
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
LGC
3 - 0
FCB
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |