Os Belenenses vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
SCP
4 - 0
BEL
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
BEL
5 - 2
FCP
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
44%
23%
33%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
BEL
1 - 1
SLB
34%
22%
44%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 1
BEL
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
LGC
4 - 1
VST
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SPB
2 - 1
LGC
52%
22%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
LGC
3 - 1
SPC
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
LGC
3 - 3
SCP
20%
19%
61%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
FCP
6 - 0
LGC
83%
10%
7%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |