Os Belenenses vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
CHA
1 - 0
BEL
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
BEL
2 - 2
GFC
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
SCP
3 - 1
BEL
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
FEL
0 - 0
BEL
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
BEL
4 - 1
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
LEC
0 - 2
EST
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
VIT
2 - 0
LEC
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
LEC
3 - 1
TIR
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
SAL
3 - 0
LEC
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
LEC
0 - 0
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |