Os Belenenses vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.2%
Win probability
4.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.6%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5%
6-0
5.7%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.7%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
5.1%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.1%
2.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
FCB
1 - 1
BEL
16%
18%
66%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
BEL
0 - 1
VIT
84%
9%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
SCP
1 - 4
BEL
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
BEL
4 - 2
APO
91%
6%
3%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
FCP
2 - 3
BEL
72%
15%
14%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
LEC
2 - 5
FCP
6%
11%
84%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
OLH
5 - 2
LEC
75%
14%
11%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
LEC
1 - 2
ACA
27%
21%
53%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
UNI
2 - 1
LEC
79%
12%
9%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
SLB
5 - 0
LEC
93%
5%
2%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |