Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 4-6
Os Belenenses vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
BEL
5 - 1
FAB
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1961 |
HIB
3 - 3
BEL
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1961 |
LEX
2 - 1
BEL
45%
22%
33%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1961 |
BEL
2 - 3
LEX
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1961 |
BEL
4 - 1
MAX
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1961 |
HIB
3 - 2
KIL
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1961 |
HOM
4 - 2
HIB
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1961 |
HIB
3 - 2
RAI
72%
16%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1961 |
HIB
3 - 3
BEL
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1961 |
CEL
2 - 1
HIB
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |