Os Belenenses vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 0
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
BEL
4 - 1
SLB
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
BEL
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 2
SPB
45%
26%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 1
BEL
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
GFC
2 - 0
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 1
GFC
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
GFC
3 - 1
RIO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
GFC
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
GFC
2 - 1
VST
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |