Os Belenenses vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
6º
4º
22
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
0 - 1
BEL
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
UDL
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AMO
2 - 1
BEL
31%
27%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
4 - 1
OLI
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
REA
81%
14%
6%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 1
REA
56%
22%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 0
GDF
61%
22%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GDF
1 - 1
ALV
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
VST
2 - 1
GDF
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GDF
2 - 4
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |