Os Belenenses vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
FCP
6 - 0
BEL
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BEL
0 - 0
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
VST
0 - 0
BEL
58%
23%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
BEL
0 - 1
SPB
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
FEI
0 - 2
SCP
6%
14%
80%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
RIO
2 - 1
FEI
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
FEI
1 - 3
FCP
10%
18%
73%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
FEI
1 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
EST
2 - 1
FEI
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |