Os Belenenses vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1975 |
ORI
0 - 2
BEL
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
BEL
2 - 0
SCP
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
ORI
1 - 1
BEL
31%
31%
38%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 3
BEL
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 1
FAB
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1975 |
VIT
2 - 3
FCP
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
FCP
3 - 3
VIT
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
FCP
4 - 0
ESP
84%
12%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
BOA
1 - 2
FCP
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
FCP
1 - 1
LEX
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |