Os Belenenses vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
VST
0 - 0
BEL
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
BEL
1 - 0
FAB
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
FCB
1 - 5
BEL
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
BEL
2 - 2
SCP
20%
27%
53%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
COI
1 - 1
BEL
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
FCP
4 - 0
FCB
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
SCP
0 - 3
FCP
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
COI
0 - 2
FCP
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1972 |
SGD
1 - 0
FCP
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
FCP
1 - 0
BMA
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |