Os Belenenses vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
SLB
3 - 2
BEL
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
TOR
0 - 2
BEL
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
70%
17%
12%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
ACA
4 - 1
BEL
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
BEL
1 - 2
FAB
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
ACA
1 - 4
FCP
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
FCP
2 - 0
FAB
74%
16%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
LEX
1 - 3
FCP
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
FCP
1 - 3
SCP
57%
22%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |