Os Belenenses vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 2
BEL
36%
23%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
BEL
2 - 3
ACA
79%
13%
9%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
48%
21%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
LEX
3 - 5
BEL
36%
21%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
BEL
8 - 0
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCP
18%
19%
63%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
FCP
7 - 0
VST
77%
13%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
CAR
0 - 0
FCP
28%
21%
51%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
CAR
0 - 1
FCP
28%
21%
51%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |