Os Belenenses vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ACV
1 - 3
BEL
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
BEL
4 - 0
BMA
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 1
ESP
69%
21%
10%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
BOA
1 - 2
BEL
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 0
VAR
59%
25%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
FCB
0 - 1
SPB
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCB
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
FCB
0 - 3
SCP
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
SLB
4 - 0
FCB
87%
9%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
FCB
1 - 1
VIT
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |