Os Belenenses vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
9.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
BEL
1 - 0
APO
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
BEL
4 - 0
CAR
83%
10%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
ACA
2 - 3
BEL
19%
18%
62%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
BEL
5 - 0
VST
68%
16%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 4
FCP
32%
22%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCB
88%
8%
5%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 1
APO
62%
19%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
SCP
7 - 2
FCB
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |