Os Belenenses vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1990 |
POR
3 - 1
BEL
33%
30%
37%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
28%
30%
42%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
PEN
1 - 0
BEL
23%
33%
44%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
BEL
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
BMA
1 - 0
BEL
37%
31%
32%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
FAR
4 - 0
VAL
78%
14%
9%
|
65 | 10 | 55 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1990 |
FAR
2 - 0
UNM
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1990 |
UNM
0 - 0
FAR
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
FAR
1 - 3
ESP
55%
27%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
PEN
0 - 1
FAR
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |