Os Belenenses vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEL
44%
29%
26%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
BEL
3 - 0
ACV
75%
16%
10%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
POR
2 - 2
BEL
41%
30%
29%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
ESP
1 - 1
BEL
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
FAR
1 - 1
FAF
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
FAR
0 - 0
MAR
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
ACV
3 - 1
FAR
36%
31%
33%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
FAR
0 - 0
POR
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
VIT
3 - 0
FAR
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |