Os Belenenses vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
UFT
0 - 1
BEL
36%
30%
34%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
BEL
0 - 1
ATL
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
VST
0 - 0
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
BEL
2 - 1
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
FCP
0 - 4
BEL
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 2
SCP
21%
27%
53%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
ORI
1 - 1
FAR
43%
29%
29%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 0
FAB
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 0
FAR
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 0
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |