Os Belenenses vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 0
FAR
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEL
44%
29%
26%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
BEL
3 - 0
ACV
75%
16%
10%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
POR
2 - 2
BEL
41%
30%
29%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
FAF
0 - 1
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
FAR
1 - 1
FAF
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
FAF
0 - 0
VST
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1989 |
FAF
2 - 1
MAR
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
FAF
2 - 0
NAC
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |