Os Belenenses vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
FCB
1 - 2
BEL
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
BEL
3 - 2
FCP
31%
29%
40%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
BOA
2 - 0
BEL
51%
28%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
BEL
2 - 1
FAR
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
UFT
0 - 0
BEL
41%
29%
31%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
FCP
1 - 0
FAB
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
FAB
2 - 1
FAR
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
SCP
3 - 0
FAB
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
FAB
5 - 3
VIT
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
ACA
0 - 1
FAB
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |