Os Belenenses vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
VIT
2 - 0
BEL
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
BEL
0 - 0
SCP
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
ATL
3 - 1
BEL
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
BEL
4 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
LEX
0 - 0
BEL
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
FAB
3 - 0
SLB
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
FCP
3 - 0
FAB
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
FAB
4 - 3
ACA
31%
27%
43%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
UFT
1 - 1
FAB
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
VIT
2 - 1
FAB
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |