Os Belenenses vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1961 |
HIB
3 - 3
BEL
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1961 |
LEX
2 - 1
BEL
45%
22%
33%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1961 |
BEL
2 - 3
LEX
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1961 |
BEL
4 - 1
MAX
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1961 |
MAX
1 - 4
BEL
35%
23%
42%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1961 |
FCP
3 - 0
FAB
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
FAB
7 - 1
LGC
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
ATL
2 - 0
FAB
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
FAB
2 - 5
FCP
22%
22%
56%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
FAB
3 - 0
LEX
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |