Os Belenenses vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
LGC
1 - 0
BEL
19%
23%
57%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
BEL
2 - 1
ATL
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
LEX
2 - 0
BEL
20%
22%
58%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
BEL
8 - 1
SAL
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
VIT
3 - 2
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
FAB
1 - 1
SPC
69%
18%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
FCP
1 - 1
FAB
87%
9%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
FAB
2 - 0
SPB
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
SCP
1 - 0
FAB
79%
13%
9%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
FAB
2 - 0
ACA
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |